Harness racing selections: Saturday, May 8

There are two meetings to look at this Saturday night, with Melton and Albion Park getting my attention. Below are the best bets for the respective programs. Melton Best bet: Race 2, Number 4, Morgan Mylee This looks like a great race for this mare and I am quite keen on her chances. Andy Gath […]

Harness racing selections: Saturday, May 8

There are two meetings to look at this Saturday night, with Melton and Albion Park getting my attention.

Below are the best bets for the respective programs.

Melton

Best bet: Race 2, Number 4, Morgan Mylee
This looks like a great race for this mare and I am quite keen on her chances. Andy Gath trains with Kate Gath to steer. This horse has done little wrong in three runs this time in. This horse was excellent in defeat here last Saturday night. This horse got the three back pegs spot and was held up for clear air until charging late to run second. This horse has good gate speed, so she finds the front and will prove hard to get past.

Next best: Race 4, Number 1, Kyvalley Pierro
I am hoping for an aggressive Chris Alford steer from the pole. This horse has won two of three, with his lone defeat coming last time out when beaten by key rival here, Plymouth Chubb. This horse had every chance but his two wins suggest he’s much better when leading and that is the set up he should get here.

Value: Race 7, Number 8, Reactor Now
He’s worth an each-way gamble at decent odds. This horse has been plagued by ordinary draws in recent times, but he gets a lovely trailing draw this time around, hopefully leaders back, three back on the pegs at worst. This horse is racing well and with a soft trip, he’ll only run well at a decent price.

Albion Park

Best bet: Race 3, Number 8, Franco Hampton
I am keen on this gelding. He gets the perfect sit behind the speed, and likely leader Paravani, who has brilliant gate speed and should be able to hold up quite comfortably. Franco Hampton does his best when on speed, so this barrier ensures he won’t, but he’ll get the A1 run in transit and look to win via the sprint lane.

Next best: Race 1, Number 2, Taroona Bromac
I am happy to butter up with this gelding from last weekend. I was really surprised by the notable market drift for him last Saturday given it looked like the perfect race for him, and in the end, it was his race. He found the front, got a mid-race breather, and was just too sharp. It is harder here, but he’ll lead and give a big sight.

Value: Race 5, Number 1, Lifes Black
Golightly is the one to beat, but Lifes Black will get the perfect sit. I am not sure what happened last week here. This horse had the 1/1 sit and didn’t really fire, but he’ll get every chance in the run to stalk the leader and from there, he’s a good chance to run top three and is a good bet.

Source : The Roar Horse Racing More   

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Sydney racing selections: Gosford tips for Saturday, May 8

There was another very small profit last week. This week the roadshow continues and we head up the coast to Gosford. The rain has come and the track is likely to be heavy or the back end of slow. It’s a tricky little track with short straight. I’ll be watching early to see if there’s […]

Sydney racing selections: Gosford tips for Saturday, May 8

There was another very small profit last week. This week the roadshow continues and we head up the coast to Gosford.

The rain has come and the track is likely to be heavy or the back end of slow. It’s a tricky little track with short straight. I’ll be watching early to see if there’s a leader bias. I’ll update any tips in the comments.

Note that I’ve finally updated the stats to be from the start of this year rather than August, if I knew it would be this good I would have done it earlier!

Dixie’s 2021 tally
Outlay: 180 units
Return: 332.8 units
Stats are based on one unit being equal to a $1 win bet, New South Wales dividends. See the comments for any changes based on scratchings or track condition.

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Sydney racing selections

Race 1 – no bet 
There is no bet in Race 1 with lightly-raced two-year-olds.

Race 2 – 5 Rammstein (one unit)
I am starting the day with Rammstein. He was good fresh at midweek level, is the probable leader here from the inside unless Quiet Riot takes him on and is weighted well. I had Quiet Riot rated at the same level but being by Snitzel, who breeds mud runners, gave Rammstein the nod. Jay Ford is a tick too. I Am Power is interesting fresh from a long spell racing in Hong Kong, big watch.

Race 3 – 11 Jahbath (one unit)
I’ll have a go at the Highway this week. I saw somewhere that Jahbath was 20/1-plus earlier this week and was thinking of taking out loans. I can’t find that price anywhere. He’s in at around $5 at the moment and he might take beating. He thrashed them at Tamworth on heavy last time, drops weight here and is drawn to get the gun run for Josh Parr. Yes from me.

Race 4 – 5 Nyami (one unit)
Nyami steps up to the mile after a wide run first up in a sprint. This is more his distance range and his best stuff has been on slow. Blesk rates highly but is short in the market. Beware Prince of Arragon. He won well last time for a new trainer but has previously been a blank with any moisture in the track.

Race 5 – 5 So Wicked (two units)
I have So Wicked leading and winning this. The rise in distance looks a good move. She runs okay in the wet and will lead with a drop in weight. I had Our Bambino just behind her ratings-wise, but with the track condition his chances are hurt. Selica was my next best.

Race 6 – 2 Easy Eddie (two units)
Surely! Surely? Easy Eddie hasn’t won in over two years but is in really well here. He meets Signore Fox three kilos better for a two-length defeat and was good at Randwick in quick time. He’s best suited with the wet track as well. This is his chance. I am most wary of Enchanted Heart, who was found to be lame when she failed last time but loves the mud and is up to this level at her best.

Race 7 – 15 Aliferous (one unit)
Another bridesmaid rating on top in the Gold Cup, like Eddie, Aliferous hasn’t saluted in two-plus years, but has always been thereabouts at a good level. Significantly she gets the better of the weights from recent clashes with Polly Grey, and she goes okay with the give out of the track. Keep an eye on Young Rascal. Fourteen months ago he gave five kilos to Mugatoo and beat him in his first Australian start. Polly Grey is an obvious chance and Wu Gok goes into quaddies and everything else with the rain. This horse loves it.

Race 8 – 7 Wheelhouse (one unit)
Fun fact in this race: we have two full sisters running in this one, with All Saints Eve and All Hallows both taking part. We don’t see that too often. Good luck to the race caller. There is half a million bucks on the line and I couldn’t find a standout. I ended up with Wheelhouse, who I have as the one going places. He’s been going against the best in the Doncaster and before that the three-year-old classics. Two lengths off Mo’unga reads well for this. He’s fine in the going. Nudge rates well again but prefers dry and needs luck from well back. Maybe Arapaho having his second start down under?

Race 9 – 5 Exotic Ruby (one unit)
I am happy to finish with Exotic Ruby first up. She went as high as Group 2 level last prep and comes right back down in class to start this time in. She’s trialled well and while being a blank on wet surfaces, this horse is another Snitzel so I am hoping she’ll handle it. April Rain is one to watch. At the price I’m happy to leave her lugging 60 kilos.

Good luck everyone. Stay safe and mask up where needed over the next few days. Here’s hoping we fill the boots again as we move Saturday racing around the state post-carnival.

Source : The Roar Horse Racing More   

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