Harness racing selections: Thursday May 13th

Two meetings to look at on Thursday, with Albion Park and Bendigo getting my attention. Down below is best bets for the respective programs. Albion Park Best Bet: Race Six Number 1 Vienna Boy Pretty keen on his chances here. He is in a purple patch at the moment for Charlie Cini and drawn the […]

Harness racing selections: Thursday May 13th

Two meetings to look at on Thursday, with Albion Park and Bendigo getting my attention. Down below is best bets for the respective programs.

Albion Park
Best Bet: Race Six Number 1 Vienna Boy
Pretty keen on his chances here. He is in a purple patch at the moment for Charlie Cini and drawn the pole, he should receive every chance.

Strong winner here two back before getting a second row draw last time and worked to the line quite well when a close up third. Hard to beat from the pole.

Next Best: Race One Number 6 Our Overanova
He is getting on in years but still has class and I think that class can get him home here. He has had two runs back from a break, both standing starts, and has been far from disgraced each time he has stepped out.

Will be interesting to see what Dixon does from the wide, whether he opts for cover or presses forward. Whatever scenario, he’s the one to beat.

Value: Race Eight Number 1 One Off
I think he can run a positive race at odds for Grant Dixon. Forget he went around here last Friday. Snagged back from the wide gate, he couldn’t come on from being so far back in the run so I’d forgive that run.

Drawn much better this time around, an improved showing is on the cards.

Bendigo
Best Bet: Race Six Number 7 Act Now
Quality three year old that I think can resume a winner despite the wide draw. He has superb gate speed so despite drawing seven, he should be able to get across should Quinlan push the button from the outset. Looked very sharp in a recent Melton trial win and I’d suggest is ready to go.

Next Best: Race Four Number 1 Dealmaker
Pretty keen on this gelding to resume a winner. He ended last prep on a high when leading throughout to win at Kilmore, which was back in November 2019.

Long time since he has raced, and hasn’t set the world on fire in a couple of trials, but the talent is there, he has gate speed and will look the winner for a long way.

Value: Race Five Number 8 Keayang Kamikaze
Hasn’t really had a decent barrier for a while, but that all changes here. He has a perfect draw to stalk likely leader Drain The Swamp. He hasn’t been too bad of late, but the barriers haven’t helped his cause. Should land in an ideal spot from the barrier and should he land leaders back, he’ll run really well.

Source : The Roar Horse Racing More   

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Group 1 tips: The Goodwood and Doomben 10,000

It’s always great to see Group 1 racing in two different states, but when they are both under the same conditions and over the same distance, the feeling always is how would a combined field look. Two select fields have been assembled for the Doomben 10,000 and the Goodwood. While the former is worth a […]

Group 1 tips: The Goodwood and Doomben 10,000

It’s always great to see Group 1 racing in two different states, but when they are both under the same conditions and over the same distance, the feeling always is how would a combined field look.

Two select fields have been assembled for the Doomben 10,000 and the Goodwood. While the former is worth a million dollars, the latter is held in higher esteem in the history of Australian racing as South Australia’s marquee race.

The Goodwood
Three runners from this seasons Everest greet the judge in the Group 1 at Morphettville, Gytrash and Behemoth vying for favouritism, and Dollar for Dollar as the despised outsider.

Gytrash is probably on the podium as one of the best sprinters in the country, having run third in that Everest and taking out the Winners Stakes a couple of weeks later. He ran second in this race last year, is a better horse now, and while he is a first-up flyer it has never been over 1200m. There’s a little query there.

Behemoth is more of a sprinter-miler than an out and out speed machine and hits this off a two month break after a placing in the All Star Mile. He’s a wonderful fresh horse but is a length or two off the really good sprinters at this distance.

Kempalasa is a five-year-old like Gytrash and Behemoth, and while he lacks the credentials of those two and has failed to beat them when they have clashed over the years, he is also still improving. He gets a little bit of weight relief under the conditions of this race, and shapes as the value off some really good form this campaign.

Instant Celebrity is a sparkling talent for a three year old filly, and she confirmed that with her win in the Sangster two weeks ago. Set weights and penalties is well against her here and if she can beat the big boys, the sky is the limit next season.

Beau Rossa is another three year old well respected by the market, a gelding that has a habit of winning by big margins in the lower grades. He put away a benchmark 64 field two starts back by seven lengths and faces his absolute acid test here.

Of the other horses, Dirty Work is smart but 1200m isn’t his go, Viridine has been around the block a few times without being up to this class, Savatoxl has reached his level, Pretty Brazen would need 1400m against this field, and Prophet’s Thumb is outgraded at this trip.

Dollar For Dollar is over the odds if you wanted to have 50c each-way on something at a price. He can bounce back off a bad run, beat Kempalasa home in the Gilgai in October, and meets Behemoth 1kg better for a length defeat in the Rupert Clarke in September.

Selections: 1.Gytrash 2.Kempalasa 3.Behemoth 4.Dollar For Dollar

Jason Collett on Gytrash (Photo by Jason McCawley/Getty Images for the Australian Turf Club)

Doomben 10,000
Despite being worth twice the prize-money as the Goodwood, the Doomben 10,000 doesn’t quite have the spread of top end talent as the Adelaide sprint.

Eduardo has a stranglehold on betting due to a campaign that has seen him break the track record at the Randwick 1000m, win the Galaxy with top weight, and run well at WFA with a placing in the TJ Smith. If there’s a query, it’s that 1200m is seen as far as he wants it, but can anyone put the pressure on him late if he starts getting the staggers?

At his best, Trekking could certainly challenge Eduardo. He’s won a Stradbroke and last year’s Goodwood, has run top four in the Everest twice, plus has several other Group 1 WFA placings to his name. We would have loved to see more from him first-up, but his second-up record has shown he can put in a peak run. He’s almost at the “taking on trust” stage.

Splintex has been well beaten by Eduardo a few times this season, and has proven several lengths inferior to the best sprinters in the land. He returned to winning form last start when taking on weaker company, and perhaps is ready to take another step.

Wild Ruler has been tactically placed throughout his three-year-old season. He avoided the best of his class in the spring, until hitting the Coolmore Stud Stakes on Derby Day when he ran third to a couple of gun fillies, and he’s picked the eyes out of a couple of black type races either side of a sixth in the Galaxy.

The problem is he meets Eduardo 4.5kg’s worse for being defeated in that Galaxy.

It’s hard to make a case for many others. Kings Will Dream isn’t a sprinter and Wild Planet is more of a Group 2 or Group 3 horse. Vega One can be competitive on his day, while The Harrovian wins a lot of races but most over greater distances than the six furlongs he’ll race over here.

Graff is one horse that has talent enough to mix it with the favourites – a few trainers have tried their hand at unlocking his secrets and now it’s Tony Gollan’s turn. If he can reproduce his first-up run from the spring, which was under Danny O’Brien, he could be thereabouts.

Selections: 1.Eduardo 2.Trekking 3.Wild Ruler 4.Graff

Source : The Roar Horse Racing More   

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