Sydney racing selections: Rosehill tips for Golden Slipper Day, Saturday, March 27

All the best to everyone after the big wet. Hopefully you’re dry and you got away safely. It’s Slipper Day (again) this Saturday after the postponement, and the improving conditions make things a little bit tricky, with some horses coming right into calculations on a track that should get into the slow range. Organisers have […]

Sydney racing selections: Rosehill tips for Golden Slipper Day, Saturday, March 27

All the best to everyone after the big wet. Hopefully you’re dry and you got away safely.

It’s Slipper Day (again) this Saturday after the postponement, and the improving conditions make things a little bit tricky, with some horses coming right into calculations on a track that should get into the slow range.

Organisers have done their bit too by extending nominations, which has changed a few scenarios.

2020-21 season (since 1 August)
Outlay: 408 units
Return: 530.3 units
Stats are based on one unit being equal to a $1 win bet, New South Wales dividends. See the comments for any changes based on scratchings or track condition.

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Sydney racing selections

Race 1 – 2 Doubtland (two units)
I’m still pretty bullish about Doubtland. His win second-up last prep at Flemington and his four-length win as a two-year-old on heavy going put him right in the mix. Isotope might be better suited with the track slightly better. On The Lead maybe, leaving Private Eye at this level.

Race 2 – 10 Dadoozdart (two units)
I am liking Dadoozdart more and more. He’s crying out for 2400 metres and has interesting ties to Nickajack Cave (and Melbourne Cup winner Twilight Payment) from their UK days. The wetter the better for him. He’s cherry ripe for this and Team Hawkes can take the first two of the day.

Race 3 – 9 Attention Run or 16 Icebath (one unit)
I’m presuming Icebath doesn’t make the final field. She looks the play here, although it’s a slight risk having her first go at the distance in the wet going. Attention Run is proving first-up over a trip and is the right price. No to Polly Grey.

Race 4 – 2 Sir Dragonet (one unit)
What a difference a week makes! It’s a bit speculative, but getting double figures about Cox Plate winner Sir Dragonet at the same trip has me intrigued. Addeybb and Verry Elleegant are obviously suited. Collette is suited in the conditions but might lack the class of the others. Miami Bound is a Group 1 winner and loves the extra trip and the mud. She is up to this level but mixes her form.

Race 5 – 4 Milford (one unit)
A couple of newbies make things interesting in the Derby preview. Milford comes across the ditch having been stiff in their Derby. He’s big odds, but has fitness on his side and will relish the conditions.

Race 6 – 1 Kolding (one unit)
The improving track brings Kolding right into this. He has a class edge on this field at weight-for-age and is the right price at 5/1. Avilius is still a threat. Funstar comes right into now after I wrote her off last week in a bog, and even horses like Dreamforce could be competitive if things fall their way. It’s a good contest.

Race 7: Golden Slipper – 8 Stay Inside (one unit)
Stay Inside shapes to be in a nice spot in the Slipper. If he can get clear and show similar acceleration to his win in the Pierro, he’ll go very, very close. With O’President scratched, the challengers are Four Moves Ahead and Anamoe. Profiteer will go around without me but is better suited this week, and I give Shaquero a chance – he’s overs at 30/1.

Race 8 – Easy Eddie (one unit)
This is a great edition of the Galaxy. I’ve moved around a few times doing the numbers for this and landed with Easy Eddie. He finished third in this race two years ago on a heavy track behind Nature Strip and Pierata, and comes into this with similar form and is slightly better off comparatively at the weights. I’m very scared of Wild Ruler. He’s a potential superstar who is beautifully in this for Team Snowden. It is the same story with Tailleur, although the track improvement helps others. Jonker goes in the quaddie. What a race.

Race 9 – 12 Emanate (two units)
Emanate is a clear top pick to finish the day. She’s drawn poorly but by the last race I expect the track to be a bit choppy and the outside might be the place to be. Her win two starts back was class, and her record on this sort of surface is top notch. Written Beauty is the danger. She was backed to beat Nature Strip and Eduardo last time, and comes back to mares class in this.

Good luck one and all. It shapes up as a fantastic Slipper day. Please leave your comments and tips below with your thoughts across the day.

Source : The Roar Horse Racing More   

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Harness racing selections: Saturday, March 27

There are two meetings to look at on Saturday night, headlined by the Bathurst Gold Crown meeting. There are also races in Melton.  Below are the best bets for the respective programs. Bathurst Best bet: Race 3, Number 6, Watts Up Sunshine This horse is short but sweet. This horse is a progressive three-year-old for […]

Harness racing selections: Saturday, March 27

There are two meetings to look at on Saturday night, headlined by the Bathurst Gold Crown meeting. There are also races in Melton. 

Below are the best bets for the respective programs.

Bathurst

Best bet: Race 3, Number 6, Watts Up Sunshine
This horse is short but sweet. This horse is a progressive three-year-old for Rickie Alchin that comes here off the back of a spank job of his rivals at Bathurst last Wednesday night when leading throughout and justifying the short quote. Around $1.60 or $1.70 is a fair enough price and this horse should find the front, dominate proceedings and showcase his class.

Next best: Race 5, Number 2, Just Hope
This horse is a good thing in the Gold Tiara Final. Her heat win was simply outstanding from the front. The change-up speed she produced when asked for the effort was enormous and that of a top juvenile. This horse should have little trouble in finding the lead from Gate 2 and from there, it should be a painless watch.

Value: Race 4, Number 9, Slick Sophie
I can easily have a 1×3 speck on her at big odds. I doubt she can beat the big two guns in betting, but stranger things have happened and she does have the perfect trailing draw to follow out Anntonia, who should hold the front from the pole. Slick Sophie has enough early toe to kick up, hold its back and potentially be dangerous via the sprint lane.

(Photo by Kai Schwoerer/Getty Images)

Melton

Best bet: Race 6, Number 6, Eureka
I’m really keen on this Andy Gath runner. Forget last start for him. It was in one of those silly 1200-metre races, which are pointless. This looks a much better set-up for him this time around and he shows brilliant early speed from the mobile, so I am expecting Kate Gath to come out humming, find the front and take a power of beating.

Next best: Race 7, Number 6, Sleepee
This horse is fast becoming one of the best trotting mares in Australia. She keeps getting underestimated by the market and she continues to win. There was alarming betting drift last start but once she found the front. She was pretty much a $1.10 chance and duly saluted. If she finds the front, she’s a $1.10 chance again. I am not sure she can, but she has class.

Value: Race 4, Number 6, Watch Pulp Fiction
He’s a great each-way gamble at odds. This horse has had a few runs now for Jodi Quinlan and has been quite good each time he has stepped out. He is a horse who loves to sit back off the speed and launch late, and there are a host of runners here who like to showcase gate speed, so hopefully it is set up for him to finish over the top.

Source : The Roar Horse Racing More   

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