Thousand Guineas: Group 1 tips and preview

The Thousand Guineas has been moved back to the Wednesday after several years of having it run on the Saturday just gone. There hasn’t been a standout filly announce herself in this generation, so an even field has been assembled and a competitive betting race presents. Connections of each horse will think they are some […]

Thousand Guineas: Group 1 tips and preview

The Thousand Guineas has been moved back to the Wednesday after several years of having it run on the Saturday just gone.

There hasn’t been a standout filly announce herself in this generation, so an even field has been assembled and a competitive betting race presents. Connections of each horse will think they are some sort of chance for a Group 1 win or placing on their pedigree.

The Flight Stakes at Randwick is the Group 1 lead-up race, and it’s rare that they Sydney form doesn’t stack up down south. Hinged and Swift Witness ran second and fourth respectively in the Flight, behind Never Been Kissed, who has since run second to the rising star Profondo in the Spring Champion on Saturday.

Splitting Hinged and Swift Witness in the Flight was Startantes – that filly was coming off a Golden Rose run where she was a length behind Artorius and just under three lengths from Anamoe, and beat Captivant – those three colts just ran the trifecta in the Caulfield Guineas.

With Hinged finishing a couple of lengths in front of Swift Witness, it’s easy to like her as the filly to beat. The face that she has three wins on wet ground with some rain forecast only adds to her appeal.

The Thousand Guineas Prelude would normally be expected to provide quite a few runners, but being an awkward three and a half weeks beforehand now makes it harder.

Bon’s A Pearla, Heresy and Elusive Express ran the trifecta there. Bon’s A Pearla was a surprise winner at $31 coming off maiden grade. Heresy carried weight and was coming off a McNeil run where she finished alongside Artorius and has also been narrowly beaten by good sprinting filly Gimme Par.

Elusive Express was the eye-catching run from that Prelude, coming from last to close within a length of the quinella, and she has since franked the form by winning the Edward Manifold. She chased down Yearning there, and to tie it all up with a ribbon, that horse was beaten a couple of lengths by Jamaea at the start of September, who was about a length or so behind Startantes in the Golden Rose.

If everything pans out equally and the merit of each horse can be judged on their performances in the last 4-6 weeks, then of the above batch, Hinged is still the one to beat after tying all that form together.

The Jim Moloney at Sandown on Underwood Stakes day, won by Queen of Dubai in another boilover, is the other key lead-up. It was a classic top-and-tail race, with the winner putting in a bold front-running performance, while the favourite Zouzarella was coming from last to try and catch her. Zouzarella couldn’t do it, but didn’t lose any admirers in the process. Finishing behind them were Fortunate Kiss and Literary Magnate, both of whom would surprise as winners here.

Barb Raider is the left-field horse with a bit of x-factor given she wasn’t nominated for the Thousand Guineas along the way and has paid a late entry to get in. This speaks to how progressive she has been, coming off two big wins. Two starts back she beat Adele Armour at Sandown, and that filly was beaten 3.5 lengths in the Manifold behind Elusive Express and Yearning, so again we have to think it’s inferior form to the Flight Stakes.

Cuban Link is coming off a benchmark 64 win, but looks a fair bit of overs at $41. Two starts back she had Glint of Hope in her wake when winning her maiden, and that filly was third in the Manifold, so she ties right in and must be some hope from a perfect draw.

Achira is the despised outsider of the field, and doesn’t look quite good enough coming off a Goulburn maiden win, although a few starts back she wasn’t far off Von Trapp, who ran so well in the Tea Rose but failed in the Flight Stakes.

Queen of Dubai will lead them along, but must have question marks over her stamina being by a Blue Diamond winner out of a Fastnet Rock mare. There are a few others that can press forward too, including stablemate Swift Witness from out wide so you’d like to think the pace will be genuine enough for every horse to get their chance.

Selections: 1.Hinged 2.Zouzarella 3.Elusive Express 4.Heresy

Caulfield racing (Photo by Michael Dodge/Getty Images)

There’s a handy support card on offer away from the Thousand Guineas too, highlighted by the Coongy Cup. All eyes will be on Floating Artist to see if he can peel off his fourth win in a row and slide into the Caulfield Cup with the winners exemption. He looks awfully hard to beat and will be the anchor for many multi’s.

The Blue Sapphire Stakes will provide a key lead-up for the Coolmore Stud Stakes on Derby day. At least we have more than three runners this year.

Profiteer is the headline horse, a speedy youngster that hasn’t learned how to harness it yet. Jigsaw is a rock solid competitive horse. Port Louis has plenty of talent, and his runs behind Captivant and Tiger of Malay in April and May recommend him for this. The chances don’t end there with a few of these yet to reach their ceiling.

The Ladies Day Vase closes out the meeting, and Sirileo Miss looks far and away the one to beat. She’s come back in outstanding order carrying big weights in lower grade, and had Embolism behind her last start – that mare ran a very good fifth in the Toorak on Saturday behind the likes of I’m Thunderstruck, Tofane and Superstorm.

Source : The Roar Horse Racing More   

What's Your Reaction?

like
0
dislike
0
love
0
funny
0
angry
0
sad
0
wow
0

Next Article

Harness racing selections: Tuesday, October 12

Two meetings to look at on Tuesday, with Tabcorp Park Menangle and Redcliffe getting my focus. Down below are your best bets for the respective programs. Tabcorp Park Menangle Best bet: Race 1, Number 6, Watts Up Majestic He’ll be short but he’ll be winning. Smart three-year-old trotter that resumed with a pretty sharp win […]

Harness racing selections: Tuesday, October 12

Two meetings to look at on Tuesday, with Tabcorp Park Menangle and Redcliffe getting my focus. Down below are your best bets for the respective programs.

Tabcorp Park Menangle

Best bet: Race 1, Number 6, Watts Up Majestic
He’ll be short but he’ll be winning. Smart three-year-old trotter that resumed with a pretty sharp win here two weeks ago when leading throughout and beating up a field which was stronger than what he faces here. Should find the front comfortably and prove to be a rather painless watch.

Next-best: Race 2, Number 4, Timothy Red
Resumes without a trial so a bit of guessing involved, but I think if he’s ready to go, he’ll be too good for this lot. Lightly-raced four-year-old that is first up, having not raced since August 3 when a dominant winner at this track.

Fitness levels are unknown, so the market will tell you if he’s ready. Either way, he’s clearly the one to beat.

Value: Race 7, Number 1, Cherishthememories
She gets a perfect draw to bounce back into positive form. Last couple of runs have been nothing to jump up and down about, but they have come in much stronger races than this. Drops in grade and should get run of the race from the pole, ideally behind the leader. Each way, she’s worth a bet.

Sports opinion delivered daily 

   

Redcliffe

Best bet: Race 3, Number 3, Cash Queen
This filly finds a perfect race to get win two on the board. She has had no luck with gates her past four but despite that, she has run really well. Drops a bit in grade for this and comes up with a good draw. Hopefully she can lead and from there, dominate proceedings and get the job done.

Next-best: Race 4, Number 2, Teddy Disco
Takes on the older horses, but he’s a smart juvenile and should be winning. Resumed with a very good second to Leap To Fame at Albion Park, with that horse going on to run well last Tuesday at Menangle, so the form reads super. He should lead and prove too classy.

Value: Race 1, Number 4, Great Fantasy
I think he’s in with a shout each way. Early on in the prep, things looked fruitful for this guy, but overall, he has been quite plain, but in saying that, he has had handicaps to overcome and just hasn’t been able to get involved. He has the front line this time so if he can step away clean, he leads and will take running down.

Source : The Roar Horse Racing More   

This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site you are agreeing to our use of cookies.